They couldn’t maintain a viable tire rotation program with all the grift and corruption. They definitely don’t have a viable stealth fighter her program.
I don’t doubt the validity of the aerospace engineering in the Su-57, it clearly has inherent performance advantages over a design such as the F-35 and maybe even in some ways the F-22, but yeah the idea that russia can actually regularly field a stealth aircraft enough for it to really matter is laughable given how much other well funded, more competent militaries seem to struggle with it. I doubt russia’s software and integration of the weapons systems with doctrine would remotely even be able to take full advantage of the airframe’s potential either.
As much as the F35 is bullshit, the focus on systems integration, software and datasharing in the design of the F35 is definitely not bullshit and russia has simply not done the hardwork to bang out the details and make everything actually work under wartime conditions in order to actually leverage the value of the fighter-bomber they built.
The true value of a multirole air dominance stealth fighter-bomber is to open the door and cover the entry of other more traditional fighting forces into a highly hostile defensive line. That utility is nearly useless if there isn’t tight coordination between the aircraft opening the door and the forces charging through it.
If an actually competent nation was producing and maintaining the Su-57 I think it would be a very different story, but this is not that story.
I imagine the most useful aspect of the Su-57 to the russian air force is that they are theoretically invisible to most of their own radar systems/air defenses so it reduces the risk they will be shot down in a friendly fire incident while on surprise combat missions that weren’t telegraphed to friendly air defense crews way ahead of time.
The competency factor is something that online commentors greatly undervalue. The US, for all it’s faults in many places, is extremely competent. It’s an institutional world history anomaly. No one comes close.
And that’s the source of the “Greatness” of America that the billionaire-bro class just doesn’t understand and is actively poisoning. They think they are going to own “American Greatness”, but they don’t understand, can’t understand, that they are actively poisoning the institutions that made them rich. They are turning America into Russia (that is literally their expressed goal), but when they do there went be another America left to keep the world order in place.
To circle back to the Su-57, I don’t believe any of it’s advertised capabilities are real. Which is why everyone that was going to order them (India) has greatly pulled back their orders.
And I promise you, the F-35 is definitely not bullshit. But if the programs and institutions that support it aren’t diligently maintained, then in 20 years every plane will be worthless.
Which is why everyone that was going to order them (India) has greatly pulled back their orders.
Well that and much of the world is pressuring India to move away from Russia.
And I promise you, the F-35 is definitely not bullshit.
I am not saying the F35 isn’t a capable aircraft physically, I consider it a failure at a program level.
I ultimately agree the Su-57 is a vaporwave plane, a glorified demonstrator, but that doesn’t mean the airframe itself isn’t highly capable, rather it makes that potential advantage categorically irrelevant.
When it comes to a F-22 vs Su-57 the idea that there would ever be a fair fight vastly misunderstands the competency mismatch of the militaries that possess them, the difference in performance specs on paper is irrelevant, the Su-57 loses end of story.
I personally don’t believe Putin believes Russia has a single viable nuke remaining in it’s arsenal.
My primary evidence for this suspicion is that for all Putin’s consistent nuclear sabre rattling, he’s never done the one thing that would really rattle the sabre: conduct a nuclear weapons test. If he had a nuke to test he would have tested it just to scare off the West.
The text of the matter is that building a nuclear bomb really isn’t that difficult. A reasonably well funded university physics department anywhere in the world could probably build one. Having a nuclear weapons program is another matter. That’s orders of magnitude more difficult and more expensive. Honestly, I would be really surprised if the USA had half of the viable nuclear weapons it claims. Much less Russia.
People in the west who have access to classified information are acting like the think Russia’s nukes work. We also know that at the fall of the soviet union the people who lead the nuke programs got more power. As such I think Russia has working nukes - if there is any decay in the program it would have started at most 2 years ago - not long enough for there to be many failures.
That is different from sabre rattling - they get plenty of propaganda value from a threat that they are unlikely to use. They are well aware that launching a nuke means they and all their loved ones die (it is unlikely more than a few thousand humans would survive the result), so they are unlikely to use their nukes, but reminding everyone they have them is helpful. And they have a few deranged people (likely everyone) that we can’t assume they won’t.
The decay in their institutions started much earlier than 2 years ago. At my most generous, it started immediately after the fall of the USSR. But the truth is that a culture of grift has existed in Russian culture for centuries. The Soviets were just as guilty of it as the Czars were and the current oligarchy is now.
Decay is always lumpy. In general you are correct, but this topic isn’t the general state of Russia, but the state of their nuclear program. By all reports that program has done much better than the typical program.
The level of faking in all reports inside the Russia’s governmental apparatus is astonishing, though.
I cannot understand how they could avoid that regarding their nuclear weapons program when the faked reports are such an integral part of their system of governance.
If you don’t fake reports, you get fired by Putin for being inconsistent with the other aides.
The bribery of Ukrainian officials was the most important among Putin’s military projects, and Putin failed to recognize that even that project’s documents were all faked. Whoever has faked any documents regarding the nuclear program has received a lot of respect from Putin, and given more influence in the program. Since 1999, Putin has been hand-picking people who fake reports and replaced others with them.
The more important the project, the more Putin influences who is allowed to take part in it. And Putin has managed to fuck up his things big time by trusting fakers extremely strongly and assuming the others are giving diverging data because of disloyalty.
If something in the Russia is going haywire, then a project important to Putin, such as the nuclear weapons program is.
… Because they don’t want Ukraine to bomb them all.
Why is this headline a question?
And also, they manufacture them there. That was a really dumb article
Name checks out?
Hehe this started out as a novelty account pretending to be the CIA….or is that what I want you to think?
No, that is what We want you to think.
Wait…. what’s happening here? Are you psy-ops’ing me? That’s not supposed to happen!
Here, have an uno reverse card
My only weakness!
Maybe a decoy account. We know the CIA is only obvious when they want you to look away from something else
You’d think they’d be so confident in their super fighter they’d be deploying it instead of doing human wave attacks in Ladas
They couldn’t maintain a viable tire rotation program with all the grift and corruption. They definitely don’t have a viable stealth fighter her program.
I don’t doubt the validity of the aerospace engineering in the Su-57, it clearly has inherent performance advantages over a design such as the F-35 and maybe even in some ways the F-22, but yeah the idea that russia can actually regularly field a stealth aircraft enough for it to really matter is laughable given how much other well funded, more competent militaries seem to struggle with it. I doubt russia’s software and integration of the weapons systems with doctrine would remotely even be able to take full advantage of the airframe’s potential either.
As much as the F35 is bullshit, the focus on systems integration, software and datasharing in the design of the F35 is definitely not bullshit and russia has simply not done the hardwork to bang out the details and make everything actually work under wartime conditions in order to actually leverage the value of the fighter-bomber they built.
The true value of a multirole air dominance stealth fighter-bomber is to open the door and cover the entry of other more traditional fighting forces into a highly hostile defensive line. That utility is nearly useless if there isn’t tight coordination between the aircraft opening the door and the forces charging through it.
If an actually competent nation was producing and maintaining the Su-57 I think it would be a very different story, but this is not that story.
I imagine the most useful aspect of the Su-57 to the russian air force is that they are theoretically invisible to most of their own radar systems/air defenses so it reduces the risk they will be shot down in a friendly fire incident while on surprise combat missions that weren’t telegraphed to friendly air defense crews way ahead of time.
The competency factor is something that online commentors greatly undervalue. The US, for all it’s faults in many places, is extremely competent. It’s an institutional world history anomaly. No one comes close.
And that’s the source of the “Greatness” of America that the billionaire-bro class just doesn’t understand and is actively poisoning. They think they are going to own “American Greatness”, but they don’t understand, can’t understand, that they are actively poisoning the institutions that made them rich. They are turning America into Russia (that is literally their expressed goal), but when they do there went be another America left to keep the world order in place.
To circle back to the Su-57, I don’t believe any of it’s advertised capabilities are real. Which is why everyone that was going to order them (India) has greatly pulled back their orders.
And I promise you, the F-35 is definitely not bullshit. But if the programs and institutions that support it aren’t diligently maintained, then in 20 years every plane will be worthless.
Well that and much of the world is pressuring India to move away from Russia.
I am not saying the F35 isn’t a capable aircraft physically, I consider it a failure at a program level.
I ultimately agree the Su-57 is a vaporwave plane, a glorified demonstrator, but that doesn’t mean the airframe itself isn’t highly capable, rather it makes that potential advantage categorically irrelevant.
When it comes to a F-22 vs Su-57 the idea that there would ever be a fair fight vastly misunderstands the competency mismatch of the militaries that possess them, the difference in performance specs on paper is irrelevant, the Su-57 loses end of story.
Which makes me wonder if their nukes even work. Heavy water has really high resale value.
I personally don’t believe Putin believes Russia has a single viable nuke remaining in it’s arsenal.
My primary evidence for this suspicion is that for all Putin’s consistent nuclear sabre rattling, he’s never done the one thing that would really rattle the sabre: conduct a nuclear weapons test. If he had a nuke to test he would have tested it just to scare off the West.
The text of the matter is that building a nuclear bomb really isn’t that difficult. A reasonably well funded university physics department anywhere in the world could probably build one. Having a nuclear weapons program is another matter. That’s orders of magnitude more difficult and more expensive. Honestly, I would be really surprised if the USA had half of the viable nuclear weapons it claims. Much less Russia.
People in the west who have access to classified information are acting like the think Russia’s nukes work. We also know that at the fall of the soviet union the people who lead the nuke programs got more power. As such I think Russia has working nukes - if there is any decay in the program it would have started at most 2 years ago - not long enough for there to be many failures.
That is different from sabre rattling - they get plenty of propaganda value from a threat that they are unlikely to use. They are well aware that launching a nuke means they and all their loved ones die (it is unlikely more than a few thousand humans would survive the result), so they are unlikely to use their nukes, but reminding everyone they have them is helpful. And they have a few deranged people (likely everyone) that we can’t assume they won’t.
The decay in their institutions started much earlier than 2 years ago. At my most generous, it started immediately after the fall of the USSR. But the truth is that a culture of grift has existed in Russian culture for centuries. The Soviets were just as guilty of it as the Czars were and the current oligarchy is now.
Decay is always lumpy. In general you are correct, but this topic isn’t the general state of Russia, but the state of their nuclear program. By all reports that program has done much better than the typical program.
The level of faking in all reports inside the Russia’s governmental apparatus is astonishing, though.
I cannot understand how they could avoid that regarding their nuclear weapons program when the faked reports are such an integral part of their system of governance.
If you don’t fake reports, you get fired by Putin for being inconsistent with the other aides.
The bribery of Ukrainian officials was the most important among Putin’s military projects, and Putin failed to recognize that even that project’s documents were all faked. Whoever has faked any documents regarding the nuclear program has received a lot of respect from Putin, and given more influence in the program. Since 1999, Putin has been hand-picking people who fake reports and replaced others with them.
The more important the project, the more Putin influences who is allowed to take part in it. And Putin has managed to fuck up his things big time by trusting fakers extremely strongly and assuming the others are giving diverging data because of disloyalty.
If something in the Russia is going haywire, then a project important to Putin, such as the nuclear weapons program is.