It would be “impossible” to move 40% of Taiwan’s semiconductor capacity to the U.S., the island’s top tariff negotiator said, pushing back against recent comments by American officials who called for a major production shift.
In an interview with Taiwanese television channel CTS that was broadcast late on Sunday, Taiwan Vice Premier Cheng Li-chiun said she had made it clear to Washington that Taiwan’s semiconductor ecosystem, built up over decades, could not be relocated.
“I have made it very clear to the United States that this is impossible,” she said, referring to the 40% goal the U.S. has floated.
That ecosystem will continue to grow in Taiwan, Cheng said, adding that the semiconductor industry would keep investing at home.
No, we would not win an invasion of Taiwan.
Realistically, no one would, it would probably basically result in either a nuclear exchange or some kind of mass infrastructure denial kind of attack, around many parts of the world.
But uh, we only have usually about 3 carrier groups in/around China/Taiwan at any given time.
And… our wargame scenarios only look maybe/probably winnable for fending off a Chinese invasion of Taiwan… if we have all of regional our allies to rely on.
If they are all against us, we lose badly.
China has more missiles and aircraft than we can hope to overcome without allies.
If… we were going to… do, what, a marine / paratrooper invasion… of Taiwan…
Where in the fuck would we stage that?
Okinawa?
You can’t move the numbers of troops needed to do an invasion of Taiwan without a lot of people noticing… and we’d immediately become enemies of all the places we could launch the assault from, if we somehow did manage to move a few hundred thousand infantry without being noticed.
Like, it took us around a year to move everything over the countries neighboring Kuwait and Iraq, back in the Gulf War.
You can’t just steam a marine invasion flotilla from Hawaii to Taiwan.
Everyone has satellites. They’d see it. When we got near a staging port, world news would be going insane with ‘wtf is the US doing with this armada?’
This is why I said its like the dumbest possible thing we could do.
We are pretty much guaranteed to lose.
We could pull off something like that against smaller Central or smaller South American countries… not Taiwan.
That’s true, Taiwan is armed to the teeth and our regional partners would not be partners if we actually went psychotic and tried to invade. Our supply lines are way longer than China and all the logistics in the world won’t help if we don’t have bases to operate from.