European arrivals to the U.S. in the first three quarters of 2025 totaled approximately 11.8 million, representing a 3.1% decline compared to the same period in 2024. This data, sourced from the U.S. Department of Commerce’s I-92 air travel statistics, reflects year-to-date trends but does not yet include full-year 2025 figures, which are typically published with a 3–6 month delay after the calendar year ends.
That’s embarrasingly low. Could the US source be fudged?
It’s the first 3 quarter of 2025. 1st quarter I expect there’d have been no appreciable drop (Gulf of America time). 2nd quarter a bit but still probably not much (Tariffs). Things went progressively worse over the year and I expect it will have been the deportations and ICE that will have stopped people.