Venezuela has accused Donald Trump of making a “colonialist threat” after he said the airspace around the country should be considered closed.
The country’s foreign ministry called Trump’s comments “another extravagant, illegal and unjustified aggression against the Venezuelan people”.
The US does not legally have the authority to close another country’s airspace, but Trump’s online post could lead to travel uncertainty and deter airlines from operating there.
If the prediction markets weren’t all owned by Trump and his cronies I would bet that boots go on the ground whatever day they are supposed to turn over the files.
I’m ignorant of the culture and structure of these markets still.
Would the market have to set up a bet for this? Can you propose it? How would it work?
There’s Bookmakers, who are professionals responsible for estimating likelihood of events using maths
But they can become corrupted, or simply told “you’re not allowed to accept bets on this subject, ever, or lose your license”
Sounds familiar.
It’s unregulated bookies. You would be better off betting a stranger in a pub.
Its like 90% timing of politics too. So since they are all either owner by Trump and his inner circle or are friends with them they can just call Trump up to delay or accelerate something a day of the odds get too lopsided.