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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • 1 hour old account with 1 post, submitting a very, very anti-Semitic blog post with zero sources.

    Can y’all maybe read the stuff you’re upvoting before you upvote it? Hard agree that Trump is covering shit up, but this ain’t it.

    (And to be clear, for those who can’t be bothered to just go look for themselves, this is the “Jews secretly run the world” anti-Semitism, not the the “How dare you correctly point out that Isreal is committing genocide” anti-Semitism).





  • I’m being somewhat facetious, obviously, but in all seriousness Musk’s infinite money is heavily dependent on Tesla’s share price, as it comprises the vast majority of his wealth, and Tesla’s share price is hilariously overinflated. By market cap they’re the 11th biggest company in the world, which is a fundamentally broken valuation for a perfectly average car manufacturer.

    I mean, let’s put this in perspective; Tesla, by market cap, is worth thirty times as much as Hyundai. Tesla sold 1.8 million cars in 2024, Hyundai sold 4 million.

    Nothing about that makes sense. Tesla’s share price is propped up by nothing but irrational, delusional belief. It’s not quite South Seas Company levels of bubble, but damn if it isn’t close. That creates a massive danger for Musk. If Hyundai’s share price dips, it climbs back up because they make cars people want, and they make a yearly revenue equal to three times their market cap. Those are solid fundamentals. If Tesla’s share price dips, it climbs back up because a delusional cult decides to keep digging deeper, but every time it does there’s always that danger that the cult might finally go “Hey, wait a minute?” If that share price crashes it will crash hard, and there’s very little reason to believe that it would ever recover. Tesla, by all means, could continue to be a $40bn company like Hyundai (and that’s frankly being generous), but their only hope of continuing to be a $1.2tn company is this weird investor Mexican standoff where the party keeps going as long as nobody blinks. This is some crypto bro diamond hands only HODL levels of insanity, and it cannot last forever.

    Do I believe Musk absolutely will pussy out just because the Tesla share price gets yippy? No, I was being hyperbolic, I’m not actually putting money on it. But do I think he could? Absolutely.





  • My son has doubled in size every month for the last few months. At this rate he’ll be fifty foot tall by the time he’s seven years old.

    Yeah, it’s a stupid claim to make on the face of it. It also ignores practical realities. The first is those is training data, and the second is context windows. The idea that AI will successfully write a novel or code a large scale piece of software like a video game would require them to be able to hold that entire thing in their context window at once. Context windows are strongly tied to hardware usage, so scaling them to the point where they’re big enough for an entire novel may not ever be feasible (at least from a cost/benefit perspective).

    I think there’s also the issue of how you define “success” for the purpose of a study like this. The article claims that AI may one day write a novel, but how do you define “successfully” writing a novel? Is the goal here that one day we’ll have a machine that can produce algorithmically mediocre works of art? What’s the value in that?



  • The key difference being that AI is a much, much more expensive product to deliver than anything else on the web. Even compared to streaming video content, AI is orders of magnitude higher in terms of its cost to deliver.

    What this means is that providing AI on the model you’re describing is impossible. You simply cannot pack in enough advertising to make ChatGPT profitable. You can’t make enough from user data to be worth the operating costs.

    AI fundamentally does not work as a “free” product. Users need to be willing to pony up serious amounts of money for it. OpenAI have straight up said that even their most expensive subscriber tier operates at a loss.

    Maybe that would work, if you could sell it as a boutique product, something for only a very exclusive club of wealthy buyers. Only that model is also an immediate dead end, because the training costs to build a model are the same whether you make that model for 10 people or 10 billion, and those training costs are astronomical. To get any kind of return on investment these companies need to sell a very, very expensive product to a market that is far too narrow to support it.

    There’s no way to square this circle. Their bet was that AI would be so vital, so essential to every facet of our lives that everyone would be paying for it. They thought they had the new cellphone here; a $40/month subscription plan from almost every adult in the developed world. What they have instead is a product with zero path to profitability.






  • In the comments section of another, a TikTok user responded to a thread outlining the current administration’s anti-LGBTQ actions by saying, “None of that has anything to do with us being gay.”

    Compliance will not save you, you craven fucking cowards. They have never been quiet about how much they hate gay people, and the fact that they’re focused so heavily on attacking trans people right now is only because they want to pick off the weakest of the herd first.

    Bigotry is the enemy of all people. None of us is free until all of us are free.


  • I’m genuinely struggling to believe that you’re being anything other than intentionally disingenuous here, because it’s hard to imagine how anyone operating in good faith could manage to miss a point so completely and utterly.

    But on the off chance that you’re serious; the logic is that purpose has far more moral weight to it than means. Punching out a Nazi to save the black man he was trying to beat to death in the gutter is a morally good thing to do. Punching out a trans person because you’re a hateful bigot is a morally bad thing to do. Do I need to elaborate on that? I feel like I shouldn’t have to, but then it feels like I shouldn’t have to be explaining any of this.

    If you were in a sealed room with a thousand starving children, a padlocked shipping container full of food labelled “Property of Jeff Bezos”, and a set of bolt-cutters, what would you do? Because if the answer is anything other than “Break the lock open”, your entire moral system is completely and utterly fucked, and I do not know how to explain it to you any more plainly than that. If you actually believe that property rights are more important than human lives, then I honestly think you might need serious and extensive therapy to undo whatever damage has been done to you.


  • Yeah, I’m all for pro-Palestine activism; fully support this cause, and I have no moral objections to destroying some property to do it. Human lives are more important than inanimate objects. But I really wish they could have come up with a version of this plan that didn’t involve fucking over Ukraine.

    Unfortunately I suspect a lot of these people may be of the stripe of Leftist that treats anything relating to war - including arming the victims of unprovoked territorial aggression - as morally wrong, meaning they likely saw this as killing two birds with one stone.