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Cake day: July 7th, 2023

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  • They can’t say ‘lie.’ It’s one of the few words you can basically never use as a journalist.

    It’s not about the incontestability of the truth. It’s about the fact that a ‘lie’ (as opposed to a ‘falsehood’) requires intent. Basically, unless you have psychic powers, or a written, signed declaration from the person saying “Yes, I intentionally lied,” you can’t prove it’s a lie. And in journalism, you do have to be able to prove the things you say. Potentially in a court of law.

    He could just be stupid. He could just be ignorant. He could just be suffering from serious mental decline. We don’t know for sure.

    I get that’s not a satisfying answer. We all know, intuitively, that Trump lies, constantly and endlessly. He tells himself ten lies in the morning just to get out of bed. I get it. We all know it. But journalism has to be held to a higher standard, and that standard has to be applied consistently, not just when it suits us.




  • Remember, releasing the files is extremely popular with Republican voters, to the point where anyone who votes no is going to look like they’re basically in bed with the evil deep state pedophile cabal hiding under the pizza parlor.

    That means for them to kill it in the House, a whole bunch of GOP reps have to face a firestorm from their constituents.

    If it does in the Senate, it’s because they let that firestorm spread to every GOP senator too.

    And if it makes it to Trump, and he’s forced to veto it? That might just be the final nail in his presidency. His polularity is already tanking. This could kill it completely.




  • Thanks, that seems to be context I was missing and does change my read on this pretty substantially. Someone else made the same point earlier, but without the specific details about the procedural hows and whys.

    That would still force the GOP to burn their one CR for the year in January, which is not nothing, but I can absolutely agree that it’s far less leverage than I’d initially taken it to be.



  • Voroxpete@sh.itjust.workstoPolitical Memes@lemmy.worldPhew! Close one
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    9 days ago

    After reading more about the deal, it’s actually starting to look pretty smart.

    They’re only funding the government until January.

    So all the stuff where the Republicans have to bring votes by December isn’t a punt, because the Dems are keeping a loaded gun on the table. If the GOP fail to uphold their side of the deal, they can just shut the government down again, right away, with a clear and obvious justification.

    The reality is, actually getting these ACA subsidies extended was never likely to happen. It has to go through a GOP controlled house, and Trump. But by holding out for an agreement to actually put it to a vote, the Dems have put the issue squarely on the GOP. They’re gonna force them to either shoot down their package in the Senate, shoot it down in the House, or have Trump veto it. It’ll fail in one of those ways, mark my words, not it’ll fail in a way that is very obviously the GOP choosing not to stand up for regular Americans. And by extending the issue with the shutdown there’s been enough time for people to start seeing the 2026 rates and really getting a picture of how this is going to hurt.

    I think this is a solid win. The subsidies were always doomed, and I don’t think actually extending them was ever the objective. I think the point was to force the GOP to kill them in a very public and obvious way where its clear who is holding the knife. This deal achieves that.

    Edit: Strike the above. After understanding some more of the details, it’s not looking nearly as smart as I’d first assumed. Leaving the original up to not ruin the continuity of the thread.


  • OK, this is starting to make sense.

    The deal says “You have to put the ACA subsidies to a vote by December. In return, we’ll fund the government until January.”

    So they’re not giving up their leverage, because if the Republicans fuck around the Dems can just slam the brakes on again right away. Meanwhile it puts the ball squarely in the Republicans court to actually do something about this issue that is raising healthcare prices for people all across America. It puts the focus on the Republican controlled House, and on Trump, letting the public really see who is fighting for them and who isn’t.

    I know it’s easy to assume that this is another example of Shumer caving (God only knows, he does it so much I’m starting to think his spine is a paper straw), but looking at the details I’m starting to think this is actually a solid play.