I assure you, the actual Canadian list is painfully detailed. One item specifically listed is fitted cases for church bells.

Florida oranges and Ohio appliances are two prominent ones I hear mentioned fairly often.

That advantage could have been given up and shared.

Strong institutions cannot be put in a crate and shipped overseas, no.

Countries like Japan, Singapore and South Korea slowly built their own, and are also developed now. Most poor countries just haven’t managed it yet for one reason or another.

It’s bound to happen in one way or another. I’d put that more than a decade out, though. Providing a nutritionally appropriate blood supply is a deal-killer for existing muscle tissues, and you can’t really design artificial bloodless muscles until the reverse engineering is done.

We might have de-novo cultivated crops ready to commercialise by 2035 (that’s wild plants genetically engineered to be commercially useful).

Canada has a similar list, FYI.

I’ve played enough roguelikes I’m primed to expect an excruciatingly detailed accounting of my own death now. Unfortunately, that’s not mentioned in any religion.

The US actually does invade, and I die in some kind of defensive gambit where they take more casualties than us.

Unfortunately, that’s a vibe killer now, because it doesn’t feel totally impossible and we still like each other. Sorry.

My dog finds and eats squirrel peanuts semi-regularly on walks. It’s cuter than when he tries to catch them directly.

Well, they use a for loop that whatever group of bureaucrats has to enter a limit into, but basically yes.

Yep, 1990-2010 was kind of the golden age for learning computers on the fly. They were too rare and inaccessible before, and they’re too polished and sandboxed now.

Yes, it’s just buried under crap and and redundant copies of itself. And possibly still written in Fortran.

Yep. There’s a lot more oil in the ground than oil we could pull out at today’s prices with today’s technology. And then with competition from cheaper renewables you have the question of if prices can stay this high forever, or if demand will go down sharply while the supply remains.

The end result is still that you get a peak oil production at some point, though.

The first two feel like they’re missing details. What are you considering the real internet? Do you mean nuclear power will take over?

We’ll have reduced the human body to basically just another machine and will be in the process of reverse-engineering it. So many new techniques and sources of data have come online all at the same time in biology.

This is in contrast to the current situation where we know a few things about select parts of the body in isolation.

I call bullshit on them being able to rule that out. The software is closed source and, even if they’ve reverse engineered it, amounts to ~8 million lines of code.

Edit: As far as I can tell, despite the headline they did not actually claim they have ruled it out.

Yep. I’m really glad we’re adapting to that early.

I suppose. I’d be surprised if the US got poorer to the point they can’t provide electricity and maintain the units, though.

(so long as you know how to use a wood stove).

Fun fact, the Inuit made do with no wood or quality fuel of any kind, even. Just body heat and maybe a little whale oil and fur lantern. What they lacked in sources they made up with lots of insulation.

I’d go further: The US has passed a tipping point and will never be the same again.

but are holding on as long as their power grids do.

This is a big thing. Where I live, there’s long stretches of time where the temperature differential inside vs. out might average 50C. That might be hard to imagine if you’re not in a place like this, but it’s totally possible to live somewhere hostile to life with the right technology.

To be fair, the laws of thermodynamics are working against you if it’s hotter outside. Heat can’t really be destroyed very easily, only moved. AC units are universal in the US, but aren’t a good solution in the third world, and if something happens to them you’re in a much scarier situation than just having to bundle up and drain your pipes. Still, I expect the trend towards overly hot places like Arizona growing will continue.

I’ll go with Hanlon’s razor there. The cops and politicians don’t really understand the magic boxes, let alone the game theory of adversarial uses layered on top of them. People use the boxes for bad things, they say just add a way to stop them, EZ. (Of course, we can’t and it’s not)

Since the West doesn’t show signs of sharing resources voluntarily

Which resources? The “only” tangible advantage the West actually has is strong institutions, and to a much lesser degree momentum. The science behind the technology is free for anyone to learn - even in excruciating detail if you go looking - and natural resources are actually less depleted in poor countries at this point.

They can try, but they don’t really have the massive advantages there. With oil they basically get >1000% margins because it’s just there and ready to be tapped, and their whole societal structure is based around spending that money like it’s water.