The thing is, the situation is not that they’ll run out of tanks one certain day and then stop fielding them completely. What’ll happen (what’s already been happening actually) is that seeing the end of their stocks approaching they’ll taper out their use. That’s been happening for a year now: we’re seeing lower and lower tank losses in each of these reports because they’re simply not using them so much anymore. Because they don’t have as many and don’t want to risk what’s left.

When their old stocks are completely used up (for all practical purposes) we’ll only see new-build armor, in correspondingly low volume. They’re never going to not have tanks at all.