I think the UK could eventually rejoin the EU but it’s not going to happen soon. Brexiteers are probably a minority of the British population now (Brexiteers tend to be older, and some of those voters have passed away since the Brexit referendum). But the pro-Brexit camp has wealthy backers who will kick up a fuss.
Maybe what will happen is more indecision and half measures for the next 10 or 20 years, perhaps followed by another referendum that would take us back into the EU.
As for terms, it depends on what the EU would insist. Perhaps they would insist upon the UK adopting the Euro.
Any new member state adopts the Euro and joins the Schengen area. This is not something to insist, it’s just a rule that exists regardless of insisting or not insisting. Or insisting to not insist – whatever.
If the UK ever joins the EU, it will also join the Euro. It’s not really something that is up for debate.
You might be right, but if the UK did have to adopt the Euro like you say, I would guess that British support for rejoining would decline. If it really is a red line for the EU then it would probably lead to a lot of debate in the UK. Like I said though, for the moment the UK will probably just adopt half measures which bring the UK slightly closer to the EU.
Yeah, it should have caused that debacle before they elected to let go of all the concessions they had.
But yeah, I think a lot of EU countries would revolt if UK was let in without having to join the Euro and Schengen. And yes, I believe this does indeed mean that UK is not going to rejoin within the next half a century at least. Also a reason it feels a bit stupid trying to integrate them into EU stuff – they’re going to prefer staying out anyhow (unleas they get concessions they won’t get) so why bother?
Of course, if they want to follow some EU rules, why not? And for each EU rule they proactively and reliably implement, they should of course receive the relevant goodies, just like Norway. But, at least I would not want the EU to spend our resources trying to pull UK into doing anything it’s not motivated enough to do out of its own accord.
I think the UK could eventually rejoin the EU but it’s not going to happen soon. Brexiteers are probably a minority of the British population now (Brexiteers tend to be older, and some of those voters have passed away since the Brexit referendum). But the pro-Brexit camp has wealthy backers who will kick up a fuss.
Maybe what will happen is more indecision and half measures for the next 10 or 20 years, perhaps followed by another referendum that would take us back into the EU.
As for terms, it depends on what the EU would insist. Perhaps they would insist upon the UK adopting the Euro.
There’s no insistence on UK adopting the Euro.
Any new member state adopts the Euro and joins the Schengen area. This is not something to insist, it’s just a rule that exists regardless of insisting or not insisting. Or insisting to not insist – whatever.
If the UK ever joins the EU, it will also join the Euro. It’s not really something that is up for debate.
You might be right, but if the UK did have to adopt the Euro like you say, I would guess that British support for rejoining would decline. If it really is a red line for the EU then it would probably lead to a lot of debate in the UK. Like I said though, for the moment the UK will probably just adopt half measures which bring the UK slightly closer to the EU.
Yeah, it should have caused that debacle before they elected to let go of all the concessions they had.
But yeah, I think a lot of EU countries would revolt if UK was let in without having to join the Euro and Schengen. And yes, I believe this does indeed mean that UK is not going to rejoin within the next half a century at least. Also a reason it feels a bit stupid trying to integrate them into EU stuff – they’re going to prefer staying out anyhow (unleas they get concessions they won’t get) so why bother?
Of course, if they want to follow some EU rules, why not? And for each EU rule they proactively and reliably implement, they should of course receive the relevant goodies, just like Norway. But, at least I would not want the EU to spend our resources trying to pull UK into doing anything it’s not motivated enough to do out of its own accord.
Yeah that’s fair enough. Maybe the UK will eventually reach a Norway-style arrangement but like you suggest, it could take some years.