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Regional budgets collectively ran a deficit of 397.8 billion rubles ($4.93 billion) in the first half of 2025, a figure that ballooned to 724.8 billion ($8.99 billion) by the end of September.

One in three regions saw nominal revenue declines, while inflation-adjusted income fell in 53 of Russia’s 89 federal subjects (including annexed Crimea and the four partially occupied Ukrainian regions). A total of 67 regions ended the first half of the year in the red.

The worst deficits were recorded in the Kemerovo (34% of revenues), Arkhangelsk (31%), Komi (30%), Murmansk (28%), Vologda (25%) and Irkutsk (24.6%) regions, according to economist Natalia Zubarevich.

The Irkutsk region has already begun cutting spending, announcing a 4.9-billion-ruble ($60.76 million) reduction in education and healthcare budgets in September.

Teachers have faced pay cuts in 12 regions, while local authorities in Yaroslavl, Ulyanovsk and Dagestan are considering tax hikes on small businesses to offset deficits.

Lawmakers in the Orenburg, Novosibirsk and Krasnoyarsk regions have introduced bills to raise vehicle taxes.

“The situation with regional budgets is serious and will only worsen by year’s end,” Zubarevich said, warning that December’s surge in payments for government contracts will deepen the shortfall. The Finance Ministry estimates that regional spending will exceed revenues by 370 billion rubles ($4.59 billion) in December and by another 300 billion ($3.72 billion) next year.

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